Appalachian State vs. Texas State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 4

Published 8:59 pm Friday, January 3, 2025

Saturday’s game features the Texas State Bobcats (8-6, 1-1 Sun Belt) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-7, 0-2 Sun Belt) facing off at George M. Holmes Convocation Center in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 70-69 win for Texas State according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 1:00 PM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, Texas State projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Appalachian State. The over/under has been set at 133.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Boone, North Carolina
  • Venue: George M. Holmes Convocation Center
  • Line: Appalachian State -1.5
  • Point total: 133.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Appalachian State -118, Texas State -104

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Texas State 70, Appalachian State 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Appalachian State vs. Texas State

  • Pick ATS: Texas State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Appalachian State is 4-7-0 against the spread this season compared to Texas State’s 7-5-0 ATS record. The Mountaineers are 5-6-0 and the Bobcats are 7-5-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score an average of 145.9 points per game, 12.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Appalachian State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over the last 10 contests. Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Appalachian State Performance Insights

  • The Mountaineers’ +52 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 69.3 points per game (309th in college basketball) while giving up 65.3 per outing (43rd in college basketball).
  • Appalachian State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. It is grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game (119th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.6 per contest.
  • Appalachian State makes 7.8 three-pointers per game (184th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 33.9% from deep while its opponents hit 28.1% from long range.
  • The Mountaineers average 91.8 points per 100 possessions (270th in college basketball), while allowing 86.5 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball).
  • Appalachian State has committed 11.8 turnovers per game (204th in college basketball action), 1.8 more than the 10.0 it forces on average (326th in college basketball).

Texas State Performance Insights

  • The Bobcats are outscoring opponents by 7.9 points per game, with a +110 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.6 points per game (152nd in college basketball) and give up 68.7 per contest (114th in college basketball).
  • Texas State records 33.9 rebounds per game (136th in college basketball) while conceding 27.7 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.2 boards per game.
  • Texas State makes 5.4 three-pointers per game (352nd in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 36.9% from deep (55th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 34.9%.
  • Texas State has committed 11.5 turnovers per game (176th in college basketball) while forcing 11.4 (225th in college basketball).

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